Bitcoin has just reached its historical indicator – is it $150,000 next?

Bitcoin ended its third quarter of 2025 at record heights, intensifying investor belief that Bitcoin’s price will rise further into the last quarter of the year.

Bitcoin prices closed in September, up about 5% to about $114,000, which goes against expectations for seasonal weakness. September is usually a tough month for Bitcoin, but when it ends, the last quarter tends to bring huge returns.

Data show that in several years like 2015, 2016, 2023 and 2024, the positive end of September followed by the fourth quarter rally, with an average distance of more than 50%.

Seasonal patterns suggest that early power may be particularly important. Since 2015, the average growth rate in October was 21.8%, while the average earnings in November increased by 10.8%. Bitcoin Magazine Pro data.

If a similar pattern is repeated this year, Bitcoin can clear $150,000 by the end of the year. This is a familiar sentiment in the Bitcoin space, adding another leg to the definition of a new peak in the year, which will cut the new supply of new assets in half after the April halving event, a milestone, usually upward price pressure.

Bitcoin has been trading sideways in recent months, but major liquidity indicators indicate a possible breakthrough. Global M2 growth, Stablecoin supply trends and Gold’s rally (Bitcoin is all tracked with a 40-day lag – all pointing upward.

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Bitcoin soared $118,000 today as Congress failed to pass a funding bill, and the U.S. government officially shut down at midnight. When Wall Street fell, investors turned to safe haven assets, sending gold to a record high of more than $3,900 per ounce.

The shutdown immediately affects federal workers, social security recipients and travelers while the market faces a halt of economic data.

Weekly unemployment claims, September wages and mid-October inflation figures may be delayed, complicating Fed policy decisions.

Bitcoin ETFs and Institutional Buy

Institutional activity increases bullish sentiment. BlackRock transferred more than $130 million worth of Bitcoin to Coinbase, a sign that some market observers interpreted as a sign of potential inflows of investment products.

Bitcoin has achieved an average earnings of nearly 58% in the fourth quarter since 2015, with superior performance every three months. Whether or not to follow this historical script in 2025 will depend on investors’ appetite for maintaining risk in the coming months.